Traders and end-users are waiting for wheat’s premium over sorghum to drop before extending near-term coverage as prospects for a summer-crop improve and quality prospects for the point-of-harvest winter crop deteriorate with every rain event.
The odds of eastern Australia receiving above-average rains this summer have improved as modelling points to the development of a weak La Nina in the Pacific Ocean, according to University of Southern Queensland’s professor Roger Stone.
Any likelihood of Victoria producing as much wheat as NSW from the upcoming harvest now seems unlikely in the wake of its dry start to spring, which has Mallee and Wimmera crops looking for rain this week to bolster yield outlooks and offset some frost damage.
NSW farmers have experienced a very dry winter with below average rainfall received across 85 per cent of the state.
It’s a tale of mixed fortunes for winter crops in Western Australia where rain this week across the state’s farming belt has been too late for some, useful for many and too much for others.
Rain throughout South Australia’s cropping zones last week, including some heavy falls over the weekend, have turned the season around for SA croppers.
June rainfall was below average for most of Australia, and lowest on record for much of inland northern and north eastern Victoria, adjacent inland southern NSW, southwest and western Western Australia, and eastern Tasmania.
A new app-based system for recording and sharing rain gauge data will help to create comprehensive localised rainfall maps and aid crop agronomy decision-making as the growing season unfolds.
The heavy rains forecast for Queensland’s cropping zones last Friday and Saturday failed to live up to expectations with recordings barely enough to make a difference to emerging crops in Central Queensland (CQ) or kick start sowing in earnest on the Darling Downs.
All eyes will be on the weather in South Australia this week where the prospect of a rain front delivering much-needed falls to the state’s farming areas will consolidate winter crop plantings after what has been a patchy start to this year’s sowing program.