Cropping

ABARES forecasts 27.8Mt wheat, 10.4Mt barley, 4.2Mt canola

Grain Central, June 8, 2021

This crop of canola growing north-east of Dongara is one of many in WA to get off to an early and ideal start, and be looking at above-average yield potential. Photo: Levis MacKenzie, Viridisi Ag

AUSTRALIA is forecast to produce 27.8 million tonnes (Mt) of wheat, 10.4Mt of barley and 4.2Mt of canola from the crop just planted, according to the Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences’ (ABARES) Australian crop report – June 2020 released today.

The wheat number from the national forecaster represents a 17-per-cent drop from the record 33.3Mt crop grown last year, while the expected barley tonnage is down 21pc from last year.

In contrast, canola production is expected to rise 4pc.

Area planted to wheat is forecast to increase by 1pc to around 13.1 million hectares (Mha), while barley area at 4.2Mha is seen as down 4pc on last year.

Canola area is forecast to increase 25pc to almost 3Mha, Australia’s third-highest canola planting on record.

While dry conditions in South Australia have reduced its canola area from last year, increases have been seen in all other states.

“Area planted to canola is expected to be boosted by favourable world prices and excellent planting conditions in Western Australia and New South Wales,” ABARES executive director Dr Jared Greenville said.

WA and NSW are Australia’s two biggest canola-producing states, and WA canola area is seen as up 35pc from last year, while NSW canola area is forecast to have risen 27pc.

Tables below refer to crops planted in the year to 31 March.

WHEAT PRODUCTION
5yr avg to 2020-21 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 estimate
Qld 842,000 418,000 1,103,000 1,450,000
NSW  6,251,000 1,772,000 13,110,000 8,880,000
Vic  3,821,000 3,714,000 4,768,000 3,329,000
Tas  47,000 44,000 56,000 60,000
SA  4,140,000 2,689,000 4,800,000 4,100,000
WA  8,533,000 5,842,000 9,500,000 10,000,000
TOTAL TONNES  23,634,000 14,479,000 33,337,000 27,819,000

Table 1: Tonnes of wheat produced in all Australian states. Source: ABARES

WHEAT AREA
5yr avg to 2020-21 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 estimate
Qld 575,000  441,000  750,000  870,000
NSW 2,871,000  2,132,000  3,800,000  3,700,000
Vic 1,467,000  1,429,000  1,600,000  1,500,000
Tas 8,000  7,000  10,000  12,000
SA 1,954,000  1,721,000  2,075,000  2,075,000
WA 4,397,000  4,133,000  4,750,000  4,900,000
TOTAL HECTARES  11,272,000 9,863,000 12,985,000 13,057,000

Table 2: Hectares of wheat planted in all Australian states. Source: ABARES

BARLEY PRODUCTION
5yr avg to 2020-21 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 estimate
Qld 215,000 80,000 240,000 240,000
NSW  1,838,000 916,000 3,230,000 2,115,000
Vic 2,486 ,000 3,117,000 2,784,000 1,992,000
Tas  28,000 23,000 39,000 19,000
SA 2,175 ,000 1,995,000 2,400,000 1,900,000
WA 4,218 ,000 3,996,000 4,400,000 4,100,000
TOTAL TONNES 10,960 ,000 10,127,000 13,093,000 10,366,000

Table 3: Tonnes of barley produced in all Australian states: Source: ABARES

BARLEY AREA
5yr avg to 2020-21 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 estimate
Qld 114,000 80,000 135,000 120,000
NSW  865,000  885,000  950,000  900,000
Vic  931,000  1,102,000 870,000 830,000
Tas  6,000 5,000 7,000 5,000
SA  930,000 1,061,000 860,000 860,000
WA  1,726,000 1,907,000 1,600,000 1,530,000
TOTAL HECTARES  4,572,000 5,040,000 4,422,000 4,245,000

Table 4: Hectares of barley planted in all Australian states. Source: ABARES

CANOLA PRODUCTION
5yr avg to 2020-21 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 estimate
Qld 1,000 1,000 1,000 2,000
NSW 737,000 206,000 1,073,000 1,050,000
Vic 752,000 731,000 950,000 734,000
Tas 3,000 2,000 3,000 5,000
SA 315,000 241,000 375,000 320,000
WA 1,577,000 1,117,000 1,650,000 2,100,000
TOTAL TONNES  3,385,000 2,298,000 4,052,000 4,211,000

Table 5: Tonnes of canola produced in all Australian states: Source: ABARES

CANOLA AREA
5yr avg to 2020-21 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 estimate
Qld  1,000 1,000 2,000 2,000
NSW  586,000 327,000 550,000 700,000
Vic  428,000 405,000 450,000 500,000
Tas 1,000 1,000 1,000 2,000
SA 200,000 153,000 225,000 220,000
WA  1,262,000 1,148,000 1,150,000 1,550,000
TOTAL HECTARES  2,478,000 2,035,000 2,378,000 2,974,000

Table 6: Hectares of canola planted in all Australian states. Source: ABARES

Source: ABARES

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