Grains

ABARES cuts estimates for national wheat, barley crops

Grain Central, December 3, 2019

Harvest in the Geraldton zone of Western Australia. Photo: CLAAS Harvest Centre

AUSTRALIA’S area and tonnage forecasts for the wheat and barley crops now being harvested have all been revised down in the latest Australian Bureau of Agricultural Resource Economics and Sciences (ABARES) crop report released today.

The national wheat production forecast now sits at 15.9 million tonnes (Mt), down 17 per cent from 19.1Mt forecast in the previous ABARES Australian crop report released in September.

The drop has come about largely from a 25pc cut in Western Australia’s forecast tonnage, and a 29pc cut for NSW.

On barley, a 10pc increase in Victoria’s forecast barley production has not been enough to offset falls in all other mainland states.

The WA and NSW barley tonnage estimates have been revised down 13pc and 35pc respectively, and the national crop forecast now stands at 8.7Mt, down 8pc from 9.5Mt forecast in September.

WHEAT 5yr avg to 2018/19 2018/19 Sep 2019/20 Dec 2019/20
Qld 994,000 400,000 460,000 420,000
NSW 5,975,000 1,800,000 3,190,000 2,280,000
Vic 2,949,000 1,950,000 3,600,000 3,600,000
Tas 48,000 48,000 52,000 52,000
SA 4,283,000 2,950,000 3,750,000 3,500,000
WA 8,966,000 10,150,000 8,050,000 6,000,000
TOTAL TONNES 23,215,000 17,298,000 19,102,000 15,852,000

Table 1: Tonnes of wheat produced in all Australian states, with actual five-year average to 2018/19 and 2018/19 figures, and previous and revised estimates for 2019/20. Source: ABARES

WHEAT 5yr avg to 2018/19 2018/19 Sep 2019/20 Dec 2019/20
Qld 581,000 400,000 460,000 400,000
NSW 2,788,000 1,800,000 2,200,000 1,900,000
Vic 1,427,000 1,400,000 1,600,000 1,450,000
Tas 9,000 9,000 10,000 10,000
SA 1,964,000 1,850,000 2,050,000 1,950,000
WA 4,618,000 4,700,000 4,450,000 4,400,000
TOTAL HECTARES 11,387,000 10,159,000 10,770,000 10,110,000

Table 2: Hectares planted to wheat in all Australian states, with actual five-year average to 2018/19 and 2018/19 figures, and previous and revised estimates for 2019/20. Source: ABARES

BARLEY 5yr avg to 2018/19 2018/19 Sep 2019/20 Dec 2019/20
Qld 269,000 95,000 72,100 60,000
NSW 1,833,000 630,000 1,120,000 725,000
Vic 1,755,000 1,100,000 2,100,000 2,300,000
Tas 23,000 34,000 37,000 37,000
SA 2,012,000 1,535,000 1,900,000 1,850,000
WA 3,850,000 4,916,000 4,250,000 3,700,000
TOTAL TONNES 9,742,000 8,310,000 9,479,100 8,672,000

Table 3: Tonnes of barley produced in all Australian states, with actual five-year average to 2018/19 and 2018/19 figures, and previous and revised estimates for 2019/20. Source: ABARES

BARLEY 5yr avg to 2018/19 2018/19 Sep 2019/20  Dec 2019/20
Qld 117,000 70,000 55,000 45,000
NSW 854,000 600,000 700,000 580,000
Vic 864,000 770,000 850,000 800,000
Tas 6,000 9,000 10,000 10,000
SA 857,000 820,000 860,000 845,000
WA 1,473,000 1,450,000 1,650,000 1,650,000
TOTAL HECTARES 4,171,000 3,719,000 4,125,000 3,930,000

Table 4: Hectares planted to barley in all Australian states, with actual five-year average to 2018/19 and 2018/19 figures, and previous and revised estimates for 2019/20. Source: ABARES

Source: ABARES

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