Winter crop on track to hit record high

Grain Central, December 6, 2016

HEADERS are making good progress through what is shaping as a record Australian winter crop harvest with analysts predicting a 52.4-million-tonne crop, up 32 per cent on last season, according to the latest ABARES crop report released today.

Australia's winter crop is set to hit a record 52.4 million tonnes.

Australia’s winter crop is set to hit a record 52.4 million tonnes.

Acting ABARES executive director, Peter Gooday, said above average rainfall in September, followed by mild spring conditions, had ensured good soil moisture for the critical grain development period.

“Wheat production in 2016–17 is forecast to rise by 35pc to a record high of 32.6 million tonnes,” Mr Gooday said.

“At the same time, barley production is forecast to rise by 24pc to a record high of 10.6 million tonnes, and canola production is forecast to rise by 22pc to 3.6 million tonnes—which would be the third-highest on record.

“Chickpea production is also forecast to reach a record high of 1.2 million tonnes this year—a rise of 21pc that reflects an estimated increase in planted area and a forecast rise in the average yield.”

Mr Gooday said some cropping regions had been hard hit by adverse seasonal conditions this year, including flooding in central NSW and frosts in Western Australia.

“Across the nation, however, total production is forecast to be higher in every state,” Mr Gooday said.

Mr Gooday also said total summer crop production was forecast to increase by 21pct to around 4.6 million tonnes in 2016–17, with the total area planted forecast to increase by 15pc to around 1.4 million hectares.

“Among leading summer crops, cotton production is forecast to increase by 64pc in 2016–17 to around 1.0 million tonnes of cotton lint and around 1.5 million tonnes of cottonseed.

“The area planted to rice is forecast to increase almost fourfold in 2016–17 to 90 000 hectares in response to an increase in the supply of irrigation water available to rice growers.

“However, the area planted to grain sorghum is forecast to fall by 31pc in 2016–17 to 471,000 hectares, the lowest in 24 years.”

The winter crop forecast released today represents a 14pc upward revision from the forecast ABARES published in the September 2016 edition of Australian crop report.


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