Markets

Daily Market Wire 22 December 2020

Lachstock Consulting, December 22, 2020
Whipsaw markets into Monday US trade saw oil sell off hard on the overnights with a stronger dollar and COVID worries, only to pull back up into the day session as optimism returned and US stimulus worries were resolved.  Beans were up another 2pc and continued to support the overall grains complex.
  • Chicago wheat March contract up US 3 cents per bushel to 611.25c;
  • Kansas wheat March contract up 5.25c/bu to 574.5c;
  • Minneapolis wheat March contract up 1.75c/bu to 570.25c;
  • MATIF wheat March contract down €0.50/t to €208;
  • Corn March contract up 2.5c/bu to 440c;
  • Soybeans March contract up 23.5c/bu to 1247.5c;
  • Winnipeg canola March contract up C$8.40/t to $625.80;
  • MATIF rapeseed February contract down €0.50/t to €412.75;
  • Brent crude February down US$1.35 per barrel to $50.91;
  • Dow Jones index up 37 points to 30,216;
  • AUD firmer at $0.759;
  • CAD weaker at $1.283;
  • EUR firmer at $1.225.

International

Argentina’s port and crusher strike is still under way with no resolution expected for at least a few days.  One estimate had soymeal exports to date at only 25% of committed/sold volumes for the month (with the shutdowns stopping exports).

US export inspections hit 2.5 million tonnes for soybeans, 391,000t for wheat, and 763,000t for corn – no real surprises to be seen in there.  There were also two boats of sorghum loaded to China, again as expected.  Still no flashes, and nothing about the rumored Chinese wheat sales the other week, although the bulls are taking a little hope in the possibility that they did happen, but below flash-reporting levels.

Touching back on last week’s excitement with the export tax in Russia, cash markets across the EU and Ukraine have seen a slow start to the Christmas week, but with little to no easing reported in the real physical side.

Forecasts for the Black Sea have added a little bit more precipitation for central Russia and the northern Volga, but not the south. Forecast temperatures remain very warm into the New Year.

Australia

Rain continued across southern Queensland yesterday, with more totals pushing up into 20-30 millimetres.  The Bureau of Meteorology is still calling for another 10-15mm across the next few days.

The World Trade Organization confirmed yesterday that they received the Australian Government’s complaint about China and its barley tariff; there is now a two-month window for discussion before the WTO officially starts a hearing.

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