Black Sea origins set for fast start to export season: USDA

Grain Central July 15, 2019

SEASONAL conditions triggered lower wheat fob (free on board) bids in the Black Sea region and to a lesser extent in the United States over the month of June, while price drivers at other wheat export origins included high temperatures at grain fill in the EU and worries in Australia, according to the monthly overview of world wheat prices in a United States Department of Agriculture report released last Friday based on data supplied by the International Grains Council.

Table 1. Free on board bid price end-of-month. Black Sea milling wheat price bids, at $14/t lower, had the largest decline during June from US$ 211/t fob end May to $197/t end June, but seasonally tight supplies lifted prices in Argentina and Australia. Source: IGC

The seasonal cycle of prices in Argentina and Australia, in both instances reflecting mid-marketing-year tightness of supply showed end of June prices up by $5/t and $2/t fob respectively.

Monthly price moves for the northern hemisphere origins Canada, US and Black Sea region were lower approaching harvest, while EU wheat prices in June were up marginally as concerns over hot and dry conditions had more than offset the impact of harvest pressure.

Chart 1: Wheat daily fob bid, US$/t, 30 June 2018 to 30 June 2019. Source: IGC

Black Sea milling prices had the largest price decline and U.S. prices also dipped – both with the onset of winter wheat harvesting.

Black Sea wheat is starting off the marketing year very competitively priced, which will likely contribute to another fast start to its export season, the report said.

Black Sea milling wheat price bids FOB (free on board) were lower over the month of June with new crop wheat harvest ramping up.

Source : USDA



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